Hamburg have it all to do in this Bundesliga Relegation Play-Off after losing the first leg 3-0 in Stuttgart last Thursday.
Things could have been even worse for HSV, who finished the final 20 minutes of the match with 10 men after substitute Anssi Suhonen was sent off.
Stuttgart also missed a first-half penalty to let Hamburg further off the hook but they are unlikely to throw away such a strong position and they can seal their place in the top flight for another season.
Football Bet of the Day – Monday 5th June, 2023
- Stuttgart to win & both teams to score @ 11/4
Date: Monday 5 June, 2023
Location: Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburg are up against it in this Bundesliga Relegation Play-Off second leg but that won’t hold them back as they go for broke on home soil in a bid to overturn the hefty deficit.
HSV are unlucky to be in this position at all as they missed out on automatic promotion only following Heidenheim’s last-day heroics that saw them go up with Darmstadt at Hamburg’s expense with two very late goals.
Hamburg finished the regular season well, winning each of their final three fixtures in a run that saw them lose just three of the last 18 Bundesliga 2 matches.
It was no surprise to see them enter the first leg of this play-off with a fragile mentality after that heartbreak of the final day but they should be in a better frame of mind this time around.
It is unlikely that they can win this match as 8/5 underdogs – Stuttgart looked far too strong last week and are 5/4 favourites to finish the job on Monday – but Hamburg can at least ensure they put up more of a fight.
Stuttgart to win and both teams to score at 11/4 looks a much better bet as past meetings between these two have been extremely lively.
Both teams have scored in eight of the last nine encounters between these two and the goals have piled up in the process.
Eight of the last nine meetings have gone over 2.5 goals and expecting plenty of net-bulging action seems reasonable on Monday with Hamburg having to throw everything they can at Stuttgart.
That could leave them vulnerable, though, and five of Hamburg’s last six regular-season matches saw both teams get on the scoresheet.
Stuttgart lost just two of their final 10 matches in all competitions and they find themselves in this vulnerable position due to their early-season woes. They look set to escape once again and they can finish the job with a victory in Hamburg but they may struggle to keep the home side at bay.
Last Thursday’s 3-0 win was the first time Stuttgart have kept a clean sheet since a 1-0 win over Nuremberg in the German Cup at the start of April.
That was just one of five clean sheets Sebastian Hoeness’s side kept in 39 matches in all competitions this season.
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