Leicester betting tips: First Flow looks the star of the show
We asked Steven Dowler to preview tomorrow’s Boosted £7,000 Place 6 at Leicester. He’s of the opininon that First Flow is definitely one to keep on side. If you agree with his selections, then join his Syndicate.
14.00 – Handicap Chase
We kick things off with a competitive handicap chase and LICKPENNY LARRY was unfortunate last time out under a big weight over 2m5f. He looked to have the race won when seven lengths clear over the last fence. However, LICKPENNY LARRY begun to idle and tire on the run-in and was headed close to home.
That was still a good performance in defeat and the drop back to 2 miles here will suit and we know he saves his best form for soft to heavy ground. He is up 4LB for this race, but he is a reliable chaser and should go well again.
The 10-year-old mare HOPE’S WISHES has yet to get her head in front over fences, but she is 5LB below her last success which leaves her with each-way claims at least here and her last visit to this track was over C&D where she was sent off an unappealing 50/1 but was narrowly denied in a listed event behind a 131 rated rival.
David Bass was on her that day and is on board again here and the fact that her highest rated rival is only 102, means she must go well at a nice price if repeating her last run at this course, which is the strongest form on offer by a country mile.
Selections: LICKPENNY LARRY, HOPE’S WISHES
14.30 – Mares’ Handicap Chase
Now onto the feature race of the day and I think it’s worth chancing last years winner GOT AWAY, who surprisingly hasn’t won since landing this race twelve months ago. She saves her best for this track, having also won here on her stable debut in a listed event and she gave two stone to a now 130 rated horse when winning this by four lengths nicely last year.
Her nearest rival is 124 here and she’s been keeping much stronger company since her win with placed efforts in grade two company and another hot listed race. This race has obviously been her target again and she will love the track, trip and conditions being the only C&D winner, adding in further spice wind surgery has been applied. I think GOT AWAY is better than this field and has a good chance of retaining her crown.
DAME DU SOIR can chase her home. She is a lightly raced 7-year-old, who has taken to fences well and although she only managed third last time out, she lost nothing in defeat in a three-way finish and her defeat of Colorado Doc a couple of starts ago has worked out well with the runner-up winning easily since.
Selections: GOT AWAY, DAME DU SOIR
15.00 – Handicap Chase
CLONDAW WESTIE drops down in class for the first time in a while here. His fourth two runs ago off a mark 126 in a class 3 looks strong and he is already a winner at that level along with an 8 length course win on his last visit here under Aidan Coleman. He is a very useful horse on his day and could take some pegging back if getting into a rhythm on the front end.
DONTMINDDBOYS bounced back to form when a good second off this mark last time out and is only 1LB above his last winning mark which was over C&D. He gets loads of weight from the whole field and Jack Quinlan is a good jockey to have on board.
The Twiston-Davies camp do well around here and top-weight SCOTCHTOWN can be given a chance. He is another who takes a fair drop down in class and would have needed both runs this season. This 8-year-old was placed twice over fences beforehand in higher grade company off this sort of mark and if able to bounce back to that kind of form then SCOTCHTOWN surely goes close to winning this.
Selections: CLONDAW WESTIE, DONTMINDDBOYS, SCOTCHTOWN
15.30 – Handicap Chase
A small but select field for this intriguing contest.
Top-weight FIRST FLOW is the clear highest rated at 141 and the former grade two hurdle scorer has yet to finish out of the frame in all five chase starts. He won a match race over fences by 20 lengths and ran well to finish second behind Angel’s Breath and third of 12 in a class 2 over the same C&D at Ascot on his handicap chase debut. FIRST FLOW was beaten just half-a-length behind the 157 rated rival Dolos at Sandown last time and he doesn’t face anything the calibre of the that horse here. FIRST FLOW has plenty of class and many gears in his inventory, which leaves him with an excellent chance of gaining his second win over fences under David Bass.
First Flow’s main danger seems to be MURATELLO, who produced his best run over fences last time out when dropped back to 2 miles for the first time since finishing third on debut in a grade two race over hurdles when just failing to get the better of heavy ground specialist Billingsley. His third on debut when mixing it with grade one winner Esprit Du Large, subsequent grade one placed runner-up Bright Forecast and grade two chase winner Mister Fisher is seriously good form so if First Flow doesn’t fire, this talented 6-year-old would be the one to pick up the pieces.
Selections: FIRST FLOW, MURATELLO
16.00 – Handicap Chase
Not the most appealing races on today’s card but I find it really hard to get away from MISTERCOBAR, who has to give weight to his opposition but has shown the best form of this field by some stretch.
He has gradually got better and better over fences with many pieces of his form working out nicely and he was unfortunate to not win last time out when beaten just a head over the minimum distance. MISTERCOBAR goes back up distance for this race which will suit and he is still 1LB lower than when chasing home the useful 125 rated Cap Du Nord last year over 2m5f. Olly Murphy has his team firing on all cylinders with plenty of winners recently and his runner MISTERCOBAR has a good chance of extending his fine run of recent form.
Sam Twiston-Davies best ride on the card is without a doubt DONATELLO MAIL, who was unlucky to not get off the mark on chase debut here last time over the minimum distance. He finished with such a strong finish that today’s step up in trip looks sure to suit. With more improvement to come, this completely unexposed 7-year-old has a good chance of going one better.
Selections: MISTERCOBAR, DONATELLO MAIL
16.30 – Hunters Chase
We round the day off with a decent hunter chase and the ultra consistent KASHMIR PEAK has a fair chance of landing this prize. He achieved a high rating on the flat; achieved a fair mark over hurdles and had been running well between the flags for a long time before returning under rules for the first time since 2016 when chasing home the high-class Minella Rocco on his hunter chase debut.
That was a brilliant run in defeat for one who hadn’t been seen under rules since 2016 and we can expect more improvement to come. KASHMIR PEAK doesn’t face anything the calibre of that winner from the last day in this race and it is extremely difficult to not see him involved here as he could outclass this field in all honesty.
Formerly Irish trained 11-year-old O CEALLAIGH could represent some value on our ticket. He faced stiff opposition when trained in Ireland against some very good horses and made his UK hunter chase debut against two higher rated horses and wasn’t beaten far in third having cut out much of the running. It was a very good effort in defeat and there should be more to come from O CEALLAIGH in this sphere, especially here as this race doesn’t look as tough as his latest run.
Selections: KASHMIR PEAK, O CEALLAIGH
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